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DIAMOND INDUSTRY NEWS
Optionetics.com
Breakthrough in Diamond Industry , Jeff Neal
Tuesday October 11, 1:30 pm ET
Diamonds might be forever but they don't have to be
necessarily dug out and cultivated anymore, they can actually be
manufactured. In fact, a small start-up company called Apollo
Diamonds is doing just that on a regular basis. These man made
diamonds are virtually indistinguishable from the traditional
kind formed by a billion years of intense pressure. The
technology used to produce these diamonds promises to take us to
another technological level with far reaching applications.
The diamonds are actually grown inside stainless steel-and-glass
machines. Apollo is able to grow 2-carat diamonds right now and
expects to be able to turn out 10-carat diamonds by the end of
2005. These diamonds are anticipated to begin entering the
jewelry marketplace early in 2006. The prices are expected to be
one-third of that of a comparable-mine! d diamond.
The implications of this new technology are widespread. Many
believe this new breakthrough will change business, products and
even regular daily life as much as the arrival of the steel era
in the 1850s or the advent of the transistor in the 1940s.
Diamonds are a unique material that is not just used in jewelry
but they can also be used in computers that will increase the
speed of current computers almost ten-fold.
In fact, there are a variety of applications for manufactured
diamonds, which include magnifying the power of lasers,
miniaturizing cellphones, increase the capacity if iPods,
impervious coatings for cars even provide frictionless medical
replacement joints. The applications are endless and have many
scientists, technology developers and business leaders very
excited. In the past, diamonds could not practically be used for
various applications because of their huge expense. With
manufactured diamonds that cost is dramatically reduced.
!
The actual diamond development technology was discovered by
accident. The developer, Bryant Linares, built machines in his
garage by superheating carbon. He eventually developed a process
that worked making very tiny diamond chips. He then started the
company Apollo that led them down the road to industrial
diamonds. During research one-day, Linares accidentally left a
diamond piece in a beaker of acid over a weekend. The acid ended
up removing excess carbon that stayed on the diamond. When he
saw that the resulting diamond was colorless and pure that is
when he realized that they could produce gemstones.
This ended up being breakthrough news for Apollo since the
diamond jewelry market is about $60 billion globally and its
growing even faster. Consider this: if Apollo just gets 2
percent of that market, it's worth more than $1.2 billion. This
could fund other hi-tech diamond research products that the
company ! wants to do. The market for the gems is now while the
market for many of the other technological inventions coming
from manufactured diamonds might be 5 to 10 years down the road.
The issue for Apollo is that their key personnel do not really
know the gemstone business; they are scientists and
technologists. They really don't know consumer marketing and as
a result, plan to split the organization into a tech business
and a gem business. Another issue is De Beers, who vehemently
opposes what Apollo is doing. In fact, De Beers started a public
relations project and an education initiative for jewelers,
designed to portray mined diamonds as real and eternal and
manufactured diamonds as being a fake portrayal. The problem for
De Beers is that experts agree that it is almost impossible for
highly trained experts to tell a manufactured diamond from a
mined one.
Even though traditional jewelers might not be welcoming this new
technology every other techno! logical company is very excited
about its development. For instance, D ARPA, the biggest
research entity in the military, has been funneling huge amounts
of capital into the manufactured diamonds, or as they call it
the chemical vapor deposition [CVD] type projects. Other
companies, like Textron (TXT), are using Apollo's technology to
develop super lasers that can be used in defense or the
satellite industry. Going forward, look for the applications of
manufactured diamonds to explode over the next decade providing
profitable opportunities for the attentive investor.
Happy Trading.
Jeff Neal
Senior Writer & Profit Strategies Radio Show Market
Correspondent
GIA Being Sued Over Alleged Grade for Payoff - Oct-2005
According to reports, the GIA’s diamond lab and the Vivid
Collection are being sued after a grader was allegedly paid off
to increase a grade. The suit is from Max Pincione, a former
Harry Winston employee who says he lost a customer with the
Saudi royal family because his stone was not accurately graded,
allegedly because of a payoff. We have no idea if the charges
are true or not. But the case has opened up many questions on
subjects like the appropriateness of GIA fund-raising — which
many people share. Even so, we have no question that the
overwhelming majority of GIA employees are people of integrity —
and there is no lab that has the reputation for integrity in the
market that GIA has. Whatever happens with this lawsuit, we have
no doubt that the GIA brand will survive. Perhaps the lesson to
be learned here is that people who should trust their eyes more
than a name on a piece of paper. That is why all labs (including
GIA) have a disclaimer that grades are only an opinion. v
De Beers Expects More Price Increases This Year - Oct.2005
De Beers expects more diamond price increase this year if
demand keeps increasing, said Gareth Penny, De Beers’ managing
director designate, at an analyst seminar. But Varda Shine, soon
to be managing director of the Diamond Trading Center, said they
will be conservative. "We do not react to the market situation
as quickly as other producers may," she said. "We are looking at
long-term sustainable prices. "She expected demand overall to
increase, although the impact of oil prices may hurt the U.S.
market. But she said indicators from Japan and other markets
looked favorable. Penny also addressed a question about
synthetics. He noted that "of course it’s a challenge, but we
have a fantastic team looking at this issue." He said they were
studying how other industries dealt with this kind of challenge.
"It’s very early days for synthetics," he added "They wouldn’t
even register half a percent as far as availability. The
question we are focussing on is to make sure the consumer
understands that one of the real thing and the other isn’t."De
Beers also announced the appointment of its first black
executive. David Noko, currently operations manager for De
Beers’ Kimberley Mines, will become managing director of De
Beers Consolidated Mines. He will replace Jonathan Oppenheimer,
son of chairman Nicky. The younger Oppenheimer will join his
father in the chairman‘s office. v
How Do You Know When Pink Is Really Natural Pink? - Oct.2005
Christopher Smith, director of Identification Services at GIA,
gave a presentation on the identification of treated-color
pink-to-red diamonds at a recent conference organized by the
Accredited Gemologists Association (AGA).
Smith explained the distinguishing characteristics of HPHT-treated
diamonds produced by Lucent Diamonds. The characteristics are:
· Areas around the girdle/pavilion that are not repolished after
treatment show evidence of severe etching. Etch features were
also evident in surface-etching. How Do You Know When Pink Is
Really Natural Pink? cleavages or fractures. Etching creates a
coarse or granular appearance on the surface of the stones and
along fracture walls.
· Surfaces of the diamond (both external and internal)
surrounding included minerals along fractures to partially
convert to graphite. The conversion to graphite requires about
30 percent more space, so internally, the resulting pressure it
exerts may cause additional stress around included crystals or
as extensions of existing fractures.
· Purple and pink-to-red color concentrations often occurred
with brown concentrations and regions that were near-colorless.
No color concentrations were observed at the culet.
· Most commonly banded strain patterns were observed.
· Chalky fluorescence is exhibited to long-wave UV, usually in
combinations of yellow, green, and orange. Under short-wave UV,
they showed medium to strong orange fluorescence, commonly with
weak yellow zones. Prominent green visible luminescence was
typical. Orange-red and yellow visible luminescence was also
detected.v
Small Businesses Sues Credit Card Companies - July.2005
A law firm representing a group of small businesses has filed
a class-action lawsuit against the nation's biggest banks
charging them with illegally fixing prices of credit card
transaction fees.
This issue is particularly important to people in the diamond
industry because we are now working on margins in the low single
digits so these charges are particularly significant.
The lawsuit, filed by the law firm Robins, Kaplan, Miller &
Ciresi L.L.P, seeks injunctive relief to stop the alleged
anticompetitive practices plus damages. It charges Visa,
MasterCard, Bank of America, Citigroup's Citibank, JPMorgan
Chase, and other leading banks with setting card interchange
fees at "supra-competitive levels," which banks charge merchants
every time a customer makes a purchase using a MasterCard or
Visa card.
Merchants have little or no ability to negotiate with Visa and
MasterCard for lower interchange fees, the attorneys charge.
They noted that the issuing banks have the ability to set the
interchange fees as high as they want, without any market force
to restrain them.
In a statement, Visa denied any wrongdoing. v
Jewelry Consumer Opinion Council: Consumers Don’t Care About
Brands - July.2005
According to a new survey conducted by the Jewelry Consumer
Opinion Council (JCOC), consumers are "indifferent about diamond
brands."
But more than half of the almost 500 men surveyed own diamond
jewelry, with over half of them willing to buy it for themselves
(up 23 percent over a September 2004 JCOC study).
In addition, women are not waiting for the men in their lives to
buy them diamonds. Of the nearly 90 percent of female
respondents who say they own diamond jewelry, almost 70 percent
have purchased it for themselves in the past (up five percent
over the same September 2004 JCOC study), and more than 80
percent are willing to buy more for themselves in the future.
Of those self-purchases, nearly 20 percent would likely buy
diamond stud earrings, right-hand rings and other diamond
fashion rings for themselves.
Just over 50 percent say they have purchased diamond jewelry for
an engagement or wedding, 31 percent for Christmas, and 40
percent for birthdays.
Rings are the most popular category of diamond jewelry —
including engagement, wedding, fashion, and right-hand rings.
Nearly 58 percent own a pair of diamond stud earrings, and 36
percent own diamond earrings of other styles.
Yellow and white gold are the leading metal choices for diamond
jewelry.
Price, style, design, and quality are the most important
attributes when shopping for diamond jewelry. Over half of
respondents rate a laboratory-grading certificate as somewhat to
extremely important. But the overwhelming majority, 84 percent,
believe the name of the laboratory is unimportant. More than
half see a diamond with a certificate as more valuable than one
without.
Diamonds in Alaska and Minnesota? - June.2005
Australian and Canadian companies are hunting for diamonds in
Alaska and Minnesota.
There are currently no functioning diamond mines in the United
States, but the success companies have had in Canada have made
people wonder about whether there might be also diamonds in the
U.S.
In Alaska, where there is similar terrain to the Northwest
Territories, a gold miner has found garnets and other indicator
minerals near Tapper Creek in Anchorage. Later, seventeen
microdiamonds turned up. Two Canadian companies have invested $1
million in the drilling program.
The last diamonds discovered in Alaska were three stones
discovered in 1980.
In Minneapolis, a team of University of Minnesota geologists and
an Australian mining company are gathering soil samples and
looking for minerals, and one of the things they are looking for
is diamonds.
The scientists have high hopes because Minnesota’s geology is
similar to Canada’s. "There’s no question that Minnesota would
be on anybody’s list as a place to explore, as having reasonable
potential," Brooke Clements, vice president of exploration for
Ashton Mining, told the Associated Press.
The results of the search won’t be known for years. They are
being analyzed by Australia's WMC Resources. v
What are the Reasons Behind De Beers’ Diamond Prices Increases?
- May.2005
Today, prices are very strong, particularly on rounds and
princess cuts, and particularly on larger stones, one carat and
up. But demand is still not great, meaning that the price
increases are still driven by supply (meaning scarce rough),
rather than demand. And we are seeing considerable speculation,
with many dealers keeping the better goods in their safes.
So why do prices keep going up? A possible reason was suggested
recently by Business Day in South Africa. It says De Beers’ new
contract with Botswana calls for the company’s profits to be
dramatically slashed, by as much as 50%.
This comes from a combination of the decrease in De Beers’
ownership of Debswana, the joint De Beers-Botswana partnership,
to 20% from 25%, and plans for a new "DTC Botswana," that will
make less goods go through the DTC in London.
All this could be behind the new plans to both increase prices
(De Beers already says it plans for several price increases over
the next year; see next page) and to hit sightholders with a fee
for "value added services." In many ways, this is similar to
what banks do; when they can’t make money from high interest
rates, they recoup it on fees.
This is a dramatic demonstration of how the balance of power is
shifting in the industry. The producers are making new demands
of De Beers; De Beers turns around and makes demands of their
sightholders. The ability to supply is now paramount. It’s like
the old parody of the "golden rule – "He who has the gold,
rules." Today in the industry, he who has the diamonds, rules.
De Beers’ new annual report stresses "partnership." But we are
seeing that some partners are more equal than others. v
Brides Calling the Shots In Diamond Ring Purchases - April.2005
Contrary to the quaint idea of shocking a bride-to-be with the
ring of her dreams, most grooms go the safer route and consult
with their future wives before making the purchase.
According to a survey of more than 32,000 couples by theknot.com,
64% of all engagement ring purchases involve direct input from
the bride and 79% of all engagement rings purchased involve
direct or secretly obtained information from the bride.
Brides not only influence the cut of the stone, the metal for
the setting, and the size of the stone, but also where the ring
is purchased. Brides conduct more hard research than grooms via
the Internet and magazines.
Brides who visit a retailer without their fiance to research
their preferences are significantly less satisfied with the
retailer experience than grooms.
Brides are apparently partial to princess cuts and, not
surprisingly, men shopping alone go for simple solitaire
settings, while brides favor settings with more design elements
to the ring.
The most popular price segment for an engagement ring is $1,500
to $5,000 v
Online Sales of Diamonds Jump On Valentine’s Day - Mar.2005
Online sales of diamonds for Valentine’s Day more than doubled
over last year and posted the highest rise in all categories of
gifts, according to Internet company VeriSign. VeriSign Payment
Services processes more than 37 percent of North American
e-commerce transactions.
The company said there a particularly strong rise in sales of
big-ticket goods. At $427, the diamonds category recorded the
highest single-item ticket price, with the average price for all
categories of gifts being $144—a slight rise of two percent on
2004.
Online jewelry sales jumped 34 percent during the Valentine's
Day period of February 1-14.
Although categories across-the-board increased during the
Valentine's Day period v
Sierra Leone Makes Progress In Diamond Smuggling - Mar.2005
Sierra Leone, once the poster child for the problems of
"conflict diamonds," has made substantial progress in its fight
against diamond smuggling, according to a new report in the
Financial Times.
The government said that its year-on-year revenues from official
diamond exports have doubled to $126 million. Only a few million
is smuggled. The country also mined 643,000 carats this year,
and has attracted big names like BHP-Billiton to help it get up
to two million carats a year it reached in the 1960s.
"Because of the Kimberley Process, it is no longer attractive
for people who were doing the smuggling," said the country’s
President Ahmad Tejan Kabbah.
There are also programs to "remove the cloud of mystique of
diamonds" and have diggers get better prices for their goods.
Also, the money from digging is going directly into Sierra Leone
development. Diamond mining is now the third largest employer in
the country, and a quarter of the revenues from diamond export
taxes are reinvested into community development grants. v
GIA Issues Details on Cut Grade - Jan.2005
Says Cut More Than Table and Depth
The GIA slowly is leaking out news about its planned diamond cut
grade. The new cut grade is scheluded to start appearing on
reports next year. We discussed the issue of whether GIA should
issue a cut grade last month (we’re still not convinced.) But
let’s take a look at the research that led to the new grade, a
lot of which is extremely interesting.
It was almost a century ago (1919) that a Belgian mathematician,
Marcel Tolkowsky, wrote his PhD thesis on diamond design and
invented what we now call the "Ideal Cut" in the process. The
GIA’s effort is an attempt to figure out once and for all what
constitutes a well-cut stones. Its findings are based on ten
years of research, including 70,000 observations of nearly 2,300
diamonds by more than 300 individuals.
It starts by noting that there are three factors that contribute
to a beauty of a diamond:
* brightness, or "brilliance" — the appearance, or extent, of
internal and external reflections of "white" light;
* fire—the appearance, or extent, of light dispersed into
spectral colors;
*scintillation—the appearance, or extent, of spots of light that
flash as the diamond, observer or light source moves (sparkle),
and the relative size arrangement, and contrast of bright and
dark areas that result from internal and external reflection
seen while that diamond is still or moving (pattern.)
No Ideal Cut
One thing that GIA has said all along is that there is nothing
to back up the term "Ideal cut," and that other stones can be
equally beautiful. In fact, it specifically notes that:
"personal and international market preferences should be
accounted for. Diamonds with different appearances can be found
within each cut grade, so individuals need to look at the
diamond itself, not just its grade, to choose the one they like
best."
Because of this, the new grade is more complicated than the
traditional method of cut grading, where one just judged if a
diamond fell within certain parameters. In other words, judging
a diamond’s cut is more than just knowing the numbers for tables
and depth percentage, they say. "Proportions need to be
considered in an interrelated manner," says an article in GIA’s
Gems and Gemology. "The combination of proportions is more
important than any individual proportion value."
Also important is the design of the stone (as evidenced by its
weight ratio and durability) and its craftsmanship (as shown by
its polish and symmetry.)
This can be seen in the five different categories of diamonds
that are shown in the G and G article. In the fifth (lowest)
category, you have stones with tables that range from 54 to 61.
Some of them might be rated higher by traditional measures, but
their extremely thick girdles and steep pavilion angles place
them in the bottom categories of the GIA.
A steep pavilion angle can get a stone placed in the fourth
category, and a steep crown angle gets into the third category.
Darkness and higher crown height means a stone gets no higher
than the second category.
In the first category, which is the best, the tables range all
the way from 54% to 61%. It is one of the striking things that
getting a top grade means not just having the right of set of
numbers and angles, but on not having things that could possibly
distract from the stone’s beauty a thick girdle or darkness in
the pavilions. v
AGS Also Changes Cut Scale - Jan.2005
While the GIA does all this, the AGS has also been busy,
updating their round brilliant grade and announcing plans for
cuts for square princess cuts. There are also plans for grades
for other fancy shapes.
As with the GIA, the AGS system uses up-to-date technology,
including three-dimensional imaging and optical ray tracing. It
did not, like GIA, do extensive studies on human observations —
which may be lower-tech but we suspect pretty useful.
The last time the AGS announced a major change in their cut
grading (which became the current zero to ten scale) was 1990.
While their old cut grade system was built around the Ideal Cut
as the top grade, the new system will allow a 37% growth in the
amount of stones that could possibly get an AGS zero, although
the Ideal is still in the top category.
Like the GIA, the AGS is moving away from the old
proportion-and-numbers model and now includes three new
subcategories that will designate an AGS Triple Zero: light
performance, proportion factors and finish.
All in all, while we still have our misgivings about whether cut
can really be graded, we do find the idea that these two
institutions are moving together on this issue heartening.
AGS’ decision to grade square-cut princesses is more
problematic. Many consumers don’t realize that the princess is
not a set, fixed shape. Many cutters still experiment with what
they consider a "princess." With that variation from the get-go,
it’s hard to see how anyone could issue numbers that say that
one princess is better than others.
Finally, all this emphasis on cut should not lead consumers to
think that cut is the most important thing in grading a diamond.
Cut is important. But so are the other three C’s. And consumers
ignore them — just as they at one time ignored cut — at their
peril. v
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